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Exploring the Association Between Education, Insurance Status, and Disciplinary Issues: Two Statistical Analyses

August 25, 2023
Georgia Miles
Georgia Miles
🇬🇧 United Kingdom
Statistics
Meet Dr.Georgia Miles, a seasoned statistics expert with over a decade of experience in the field. Dr. Georgia earned her Ph.D. in Statistics from New York University of Advanced Studies.
Key Topics
  • Problem Description
  • Statistical Analysis:
  • Analyzing the Relationship Between High School Graduation Rate and Disciplinary Issues
  • Statistical Analysis:
Tip of the day
Probability is the foundation of statistics. Make sure you are comfortable with concepts like independent and dependent events, conditional probability, and the different probability distributions. This understanding will help you grasp more complex statistical analyses.
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In 2024, a new survey by the OECD revealed a significant global decline in academic performance, particularly in math and statistics, following the pandemic. While many countries faced setbacks, regions in Asia performed better overall.

In this comprehensive analysis, we delve into the intricate relationships between education, insurance status, and disciplinary issues. Our first investigation examines whether a child's insurance status is linked to their educational level, providing valuable insights into the factors influencing educational attainment. The second part of our study scrutinizes the connection between high school graduation rates and disciplinary issues during the first grade, shedding light on the impact of early behaviors on future academic achievement. These statistical examinations employ Chi-square tests and offer substantial evidence for associations, although certain assumptions may be challenged due to low expected cell counts.

Problem Description

This Statistical Analysis assignment focuses on investigating the association between a child's insurance status and their highest level of education. We aim to determine if the two variables are related. To do this, we formulate a null hypothesis (H₀) and an alternative hypothesis (HA) to guide our analysis:

H0: The insurance status of the child is not associated with the level of education.

HA: The insurance status of the child is associated with the level of education.

Statistical Analysis:

Hypothesis Testing: We employ the Chi-square test for contingency tables to evaluate the relationship between the child's insurance status and their educational level. Both variables are categorical, and our significance level (alpha) is set to 0.05. With degrees of freedom (υ) calculated as 6, the critical value of the Chi-square statistic at α = 0.05 is 12.60.

χ_(α,υ)^2= χ_(.05,6 )^²= 12.6

Expected Cell Counts: To proceed, we calculate the expected cell counts for each combination of insurance status and education level. The expected cell counts help us understand what we would anticipate if there were no association between the variables. Here are the results:

  • No HS: Uninsured (1.90), Medicaid (6.70), Private Insurance (3.40)
  • Some HS: Uninsured (15.03), Medicaid (53.07), Private Insurance (26.90)
  • HS Grad: Uninsured (24.83), Medicaid (87.71), Private Insurance (44.46)
  • Some College or Higher: Uninsured (20.24), Medicaid (71.51), Private Insurance (36.24)
Highest Education LevelChild Insurance Status
UninsuredMedicaidPrivate InsuranceTotal
No HS392 ×62392 × 12392=1.90392 ×219392 × 12392= 6.70392 ×111392 × 12392= 3.4012
Some HS392 ×62392 × 95392=15.03392 ×219392 × 95392=53.07392 ×111392 × 95392=26.9095
HS Grad392 ×62392 × 157392=24.83392 ×219392 × 157392=87.71392 ×111392 × 157392=44.46157
Some College or Higher392 ×62392 × 128392=20.24392 ×219392 × 128392=71.51392 ×111392 × 128392=36.24128
Total62219111392

Table 1: Expected Cell Counts

Variable Measurement: The child's insurance status is a nominal variable as it includes categories (Uninsured, Medicaid, Private Insurance) with no inherent order. In contrast, the educational level is an ordinal variable, as it presents four categories (No HS, Some HS, HS Grad, Some College or Higher) that can be ranked in a specific order.

Conclusion: Our calculated Chi-square test statistic (χ²) is 24.60, which exceeds the critical value of 12.60. We conclude that a child's insurance status is indeed associated with their educational level.

χ^2> χ_υ^2

24.60> 12.60

Percentage Calculation: To gain further insights, we compute the percentages for each education level and insurance status as a fraction of the total for each row. These percentages highlight the relationship between the two variables.

Highest Education LevelChild Insurance Status
UninsuredMedicaidPrivate InsuranceTotal
No HS012×100=0%1112×100=91.67%112×100=8.33%100%
Some HS1495×100=14.74%6695×100=69.47%1595×100=15.79%100%
HS Grad30157×100=19.11%83157×100=52.87%44157×100=28.03%100%
Some College or Higher18128×100=14.06%59128×100=46.09%51128×100=39.84%100%

Table 2: Computing Percentages as Fraction of ROW TOTAL on row-by-row basis

Expected Cell Counts Violating Assumption: It's essential to note that Chi-square tests assume expected cell counts should be higher than 5 for a large contingency table. In our analysis, two cell counts are less than 5 (No HS by Uninsured and No HS by Private Insurance). While this may be due to the majority of individuals attending high school, we should exercise caution when interpreting these results as they violate the expected cell count assumption.

Summary: This analysis demonstrates the association between a child's insurance status and their highest level of education. The Chi-square test reveals that these two variables are not independent, and there is a significant relationship between them. However, it's important to acknowledge that certain cell counts violate the Chi-square test's assumption, which can impact the validity of the results.

Analyzing the Relationship Between High School Graduation Rate and Disciplinary Issues

Problem Description: In this assignment, we investigate whether the rate of high school graduation differs based on the presence of disciplinary issues during the first grade. We formulate a null hypothesis (H₀) and an alternative hypothesis (HA) to guide our analysis:

  • H0: The rate of high school graduation is not associated with the classification of disciplinary issues in the first grade.
  • HA: The rate of high school graduation is associated with the classification of disciplinary issues in the first grade.

Statistical Analysis:

Hypothesis Testing: We employ the Chi-square test for contingency tables to examine the association between the rate of high school graduation and the classification of disciplinary issues. Both variables are categorical, and our significance level (alpha) is set to 0.05. With degrees of freedom (υ) calculated as 1, the critical value of the Chi-square statistic at α = 0.05 is 3.84.

χ_(α,υ)^2= χ_(.05,1 )^²= 3.84

Expected Cell Counts: To conduct the Chi-square test, we calculate the expected cell counts for each combination of graduation rate and disciplinary issue classification:

  • Had First Grade Consistent Discipline Issues: Graduated HS (20.67), Dropped out of HS (6.33)
  • Did NOT Have Consistent Discipline Issues in 1st Grade: Graduated HS (175.33), Dropped out of HS (53.67)

Conclusion: The calculated Chi-square test statistic (χ²) is 26.28, which surpasses the critical value of 3.84. Therefore, there is substantial evidence to reject the null hypothesis. We conclude that the rate of high school graduation is indeed associated with the classification of disciplinary issues during the first grade.

Summary: This analysis reveals a significant relationship between the rate of high school graduation and the presence or absence of disciplinary issues during the first grade. The Chi-square test supports our conclusion that these two variables are associated. However, it's essential to acknowledge that Chi-square test assumptions may be violated due to low expected cell counts, which should be considered when interpreting the results.

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